Thankfully many experts are asking tough questions and challenging the accepted narrative:
One day when the corona crisis has well and truly passed, there will be plenty of people who will wonder why the whole world went into such a panic and why so many people were utterly consumed with fear while ignoring reality. Yes, at first we had a lot to learn about the novel coronavirus, but soon enough many things did begin to become more clear.
Yet instead of relying on the growing evidence and on the actual numbers, we far too often relied on politics, wild predictions, faulty modelling, and scare tactics. As a result, much of the world went into massive lockdowns. Now many experts are warning about the dangers of all this.
Indeed, many of us were asking from early on if the cure was not becoming much worse than the disease itself. One of the very first articles I penned on corona (from March 12) was all about how governments can use or misuse a crisis. History has long taught us that emergencies can result in the increase of draconian government powers and the reduction of human freedoms: https://billmuehlenberg.com/2020/03/12/crises-liberty-and-the-state/
From day one I said that some government intervention was of course going to be needed, and some infringements on liberty would temporarily have to be allowed for. But I also sought to sound the alarm about simply letting feelings and fear determine how we proceed. And for daring to share those sorts of concerns I have had far too many critics attacking me and basically telling me to sit down, shut up, and just do whatever the State tells me to do.
Yes I know, those totally in favour of full-scale lockdowns often mean well and can have the best of intentions. They want us to be safe and they want to save lives. Wanting to see life preserved is always a good thing. Who can find fault with that? But we all want to see lives saved. So the real question is, are we running with the best policies here? Are we dealing with facts instead of succumbing to fear?
For too long the corona alarmists have sought to take the high moral ground, denigrating and casting aspersions on anyone who dares to question the rubbery figures, question draconian lockdowns and the erosion of freedom, and suggest that economic devastation can be just as fatal.
The truth is this: these ongoing shutdowns actually mean economic collapse, depression (financial and psychological), suicide, poverty and so on – but too many corona alarmists don’t seem to care about that. They are far too one-dimensional: they insist that there must be no end to the lockdowns until we are all safe – which means we will never be out of lockdown.
There is no such thing as a completely safe world and a totally risk-free life. And I have shared many dozens of articles by various experts who have taken the view that we have had too much panic, too much gloom and doom, too much running on fear, and too little reliance on the actual facts and evidence.
A few days ago a new article appeared which has already been shared some 600,000 times. I refer to “The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation” by Scott W. Atlas, MD, and former chief of neuroradiology at Stanford University Medical Center.
I almost never simply run with an entire article of someone else, but this one is so important that it is well worth sharing the entire piece. Bear in mind that the original contains around 20 links to what is being said, so those who want the full documentation and referencing can easily find that. The original piece is here: https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/494034-the-data-are-in-stop-the-panic-and-end-the-total-isolation
So let me share in full this crucial article. I hope you will take the time to read it and share it widely:
The tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to be entering the containment phase. Tens of thousands of Americans have died, and Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts. Leaders must examine accumulated data to see what has actually happened, rather than keep emphasizing hypothetical projections; combine that empirical evidence with fundamental principles of biology established for decades; and then thoughtfully restore the country to function.
Five key facts are being ignored by those calling for continuing the near-total lockdown.
Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.
The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.
In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.
Of all fatal cases in New York state, two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent, had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.
Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.
We can learn about hospital utilization from data from New York City, the hotbed of COVID-19 with more than 34,600 hospitalizations to date. For those under 18 years of age, hospitalization from the virus is 0.01 percent per 100,000 people; for those 18 to 44 years old, hospitalization is 0.1 percent per 100,000. Even for people ages 65 to 74, only 1.7 percent were hospitalized. Of 4,103 confirmed COVID-19 patients with symptoms bad enough to seek medical care, Dr. Leora Horwitz of NYU Medical Center concluded “age is far and away the strongest risk factor for hospitalization.” Even early WHO reports noted that 80 percent of all cases were mild, and more recent studies show a far more widespread rate of infection and lower rate of serious illness. Half of all people testing positive for infection have no symptoms at all. The vast majority of younger, otherwise healthy people do not need significant medical care if they catch this infection.
Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.
We know from decades of medical science that infection itself allows people to generate an immune response — antibodies — so that the infection is controlled throughout the population by “herd immunity.” Indeed, that is the main purpose of widespread immunization in other viral diseases — to assist with population immunity. In this virus, we know that medical care is not even necessary for the vast majority of people who are infected. It is so mild that half of infected people are asymptomatic, shown in early data from the Diamond Princess ship, and then in Iceland and Italy. That has been falsely portrayed as a problem requiring mass isolation. In fact, infected people without severe illness are the immediately available vehicle for establishing widespread immunity. By transmitting the virus to others in the low-risk group who then generate antibodies, they block the network of pathways toward the most vulnerable people, ultimately ending the threat. Extending whole-population isolation would directly prevent that widespread immunity from developing.
Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.
Critical health care for millions of Americans is being ignored and people are dying to accommodate “potential” COVID-19 patients and for fear of spreading the disease. Most states and many hospitals abruptly stopped “nonessential” procedures and surgery. That prevented diagnoses of life-threatening diseases, like cancer screening, biopsies of tumors now undiscovered and potentially deadly brain aneurysms. Treatments, including emergency care, for the most serious illnesses were also missed. Cancer patients deferred chemotherapy. An estimated 80 percent of brain surgery cases were skipped. Acute stroke and heart attack patients missed their only chances for treatment, some dying and many now facing permanent disability.
Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.
The overwhelming evidence all over the world consistently shows that a clearly defined group — older people and others with underlying conditions — is more likely to have a serious illness requiring hospitalization and more likely to die from COVID-19. Knowing that, it is a commonsense, achievable goal to target isolation policy to that group, including strictly monitoring those who interact with them. Nursing home residents, the highest risk, should be the most straightforward to systematically protect from infected people, given that they already live in confined places with highly restricted entry.
The appropriate policy, based on fundamental biology and the evidence already in hand, is to institute a more focused strategy like some outlined in the first place: Strictly protect the known vulnerable, self-isolate the mildly sick and open most workplaces and small businesses with some prudent large-group precautions. This would allow the essential socializing to generate immunity among those with minimal risk of serious consequence, while saving lives, preventing overcrowding of hospitals and limiting the enormous harms compounded by continued total isolation. Let’s stop underemphasizing empirical evidence while instead doubling down on hypothetical models. Facts matter.
Now, am I saying that Atlas is infallible, his article is inerrant, and this is the end of the story? No. His is just one voice of many. But too seldom are voices like his being given a hearing. Far too often the alarmists and doom merchants are getting all the attention.
So yes, keep reading far and wide. Keep trying to learn more and more about these important matters. Above all, do NOT stop thinking, do NOT stop asking questions, and do NOT assume that our leaders can do no wrong and always have our best interests at heart. Some do, but some don’t.